Torquay United vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
NOR
1 - 0
GUL
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
SUT
2 - 0
GUL
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 1
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
GUL
1 - 0
BRO
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
GUL
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DOV
3 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 4
DOV
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DOV
2 - 0
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
DOV
1 - 4
BOR
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
WRE
0 - 0
DOV
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |