Torquay United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GUL
0 - 2
ROC
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BCF
1 - 3
GUL
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUL
1 - 1
OPA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
BUR
2 - 0
GUL
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUL
0 - 0
MAN
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 0
ROC
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
DAV
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
SCU
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BRO
0 - 0
CHE
28%
28%
45%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
YOR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |