Torquay United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BUR
3 - 3
GUL
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 0
WYC
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
0 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 3
GUL
25%
26%
48%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 0
LIN
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
BCF
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CHE
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |