Torquay United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
40.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
GUL
0 - 2
SOU
10%
18%
72%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BRO
1 - 0
GUL
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 2
MKD
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
GRI
2 - 0
GUL
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
BCF
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
STA
1 - 1
BCF
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BCF
0 - 1
HAR
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BCF
2 - 0
STO
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 3
BCF
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |