FA Cup 1/32
Global 0-2
Torquay United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
DAR
3 - 2
GUL
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
GUL
2 - 1
RUS
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
GUL
2 - 2
WYC
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
BRO
0 - 1
GUL
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
GUL
3 - 3
OXF
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
BIR
2 - 0
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
BIR
2 - 2
MUD
15%
23%
63%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
TOT
2 - 0
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2005 |
BIR
1 - 3
MUD
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |