Torquay United vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
GUL
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
GUL
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 4
GUL
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
GUL
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
AFC
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
STA
0 - 2
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
DAG
2 - 1
STA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |