Torpedo Zhodino vs Naftan Novopolotsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
3º
18
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 62 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 61 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 56 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 52 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 39 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 39 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 27 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
4% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
68.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 51.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Zhodino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
ISL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 2
TOR
25%
29%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
FCS
66%
21%
12%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DNM
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 2
GOM
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
NAF
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
NAF
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
FCS
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 2
NAF
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |