Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SAT
2 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
FCR
74%
17%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
0 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
SAT
59%
22%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
ELI
0 - 1
TOR
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
ELI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
YAR
1 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CHE
3 - 2
KRI
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
VOL
2 - 2
CHE
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
CHE
5 - 1
DIN
76%
17%
7%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |