Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
FCR
0 - 0
TOR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROT
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
CSK
0 - 0
TOR
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
TOR
0 - 0
SPA
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ZEN
0 - 0
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 0
ALA
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
FCR
1 - 0
CHE
61%
21%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
KRS
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
ROT
5 - 2
CHE
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 1
DIN
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |