Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-1
Torpedo Moscow vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
STU
2 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
TOR
2 - 1
STU
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
MFK
3 - 3
TOR
43%
23%
35%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
TOR
4 - 0
MFK
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
0 - 0
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 4
BYM
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
BYM
5 - 0
LEV
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
KSC
0 - 4
BYM
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
BER
1 - 5
BYM
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 34 | 53 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1982 |
BYM
1 - 0
F95
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |