Toros Neza vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LAP
2 - 2
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
IRA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 0
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
VER
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VER
2 - 5
LEO
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
VER
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
DOR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
2 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |