Toros Neza vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 2
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
PAC
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
UAT
0 - 1
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAF
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
REB
1 - 1
MER
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
REB
37%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
REB
0 - 1
IRA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 2
REB
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
2 - 1
REB
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |