Toros Neza vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VER
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 2
REB
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
TOR
42%
29%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 2
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MER
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |