Toros Neza vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAF
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
LOB
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TOR
4 - 1
CAZ
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 2
CAZ
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MOR
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |