Toros Neza vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 0
TOR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAF
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
EST
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
AME
3 - 1
NEC
78%
15%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 4
AME
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TIJ
1 - 2
AME
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |