Toros México vs Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
8º
5º
19
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NEZ
2 - 0
IDN
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
IDN
0 - 6
NEZ
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MDO
2 - 3
NEZ
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
NEZ
1 - 2
FUR
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |