Toronto II vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
PNN
2 - 4
TOR
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
PHU
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 0
TOR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
CHA
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
LOU
4 - 1
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 1
MON
66%
22%
12%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 0
ORL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CIN
30%
30%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
NYO
0 - 0
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
PIT
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |