Toronto II vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PHU
4 - 0
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 3
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
NYO
3 - 3
TOR
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 4
OTT
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 2
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 0
OTT
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RIC
0 - 2
OTT
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
3 - 4
OTT
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NYO
1 - 0
OTT
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 2
PNN
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |