Toronto II vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 2
AFC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 4
TOR
79%
15%
7%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
IND
3 - 2
TOR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 2
PHU
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
RIC
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
NYO
1 - 0
OTT
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 2
PNN
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
PHU
2 - 0
OTT
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 0
IND
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
RIC
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |