Toronto II vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ORL
2 - 1
TOR
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
2 - 3
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
RIC
3 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROC
27%
27%
45%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
PNN
2 - 4
TOR
66%
18%
16%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
PNN
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PNN
0 - 5
NYO
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PNN
1 - 1
ROC
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
PHU
0 - 1
PNN
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
PIT
1 - 2
PNN
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |