Canadian Championship Final
Global 2-2
Toronto FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
GAL
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
TOR
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
RBN
3 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
COC
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 2
NER
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
VAN
3 - 0
OTT
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
OTT
2 - 0
VAN
24%
24%
52%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAN
1 - 1
HOD
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
POR
4 - 2
VAN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |