Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Toronto FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 2
NER
30%
27%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
DAL
2 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COC
0 - 2
TOR
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
RSL
3 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
VAN
3 - 2
SJE
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
RSL
2 - 2
VAN
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VAN
2 - 2
GAL
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 0
VAN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
VAN
1 - 2
COR
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |