Canadian Championship Final
Global 2-1
Toronto FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
DCU
3 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 1
TOR
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 0
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 2
DCU
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
TOR
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 2
SES
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
VAN
1 - 1
TOR
43%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NER
4 - 1
VAN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
VAN
3 - 1
EDM
55%
22%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 1
SJE
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |