Toronto FC vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
46%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
TAU
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
COR
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COC
2 - 4
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
PUM
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
DAL
0 - 2
PUM
42%
28%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
4 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
QRO
4 - 0
PUM
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |