Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
CFS
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 3
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
COC
2 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NER
0 - 0
PHU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
PHU
1 - 2
COC
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PHU
0 - 0
RSL
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DCU
1 - 1
PHU
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
PHU
1 - 3
CFS
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |