Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NER
4 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
COC
2 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RBN
5 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
RSL
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
SJE
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
PHU
3 - 2
DCU
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
SES
2 - 0
PHU
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |