Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Toronto FC vs Ottawa Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CFS
1 - 2
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 1
TOR
8%
15%
76%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
ORL
2 - 1
TOR
31%
25%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
KCW
2 - 2
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
MIN
4 - 3
TOR
22%
25%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ottawa Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 0
NSC
28%
30%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 1
TOR
8%
15%
76%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 1
PNN
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 1
PIT
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
IND
0 - 1
OTT
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |