Toronto FC vs Orlando City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
CIN
2 - 0
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 2
CIN
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NYC
5 - 4
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
PHU
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Orlando City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 1
PHU
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MON
4 - 1
ORL
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHA
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ORL
0 - 3
RBN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 1
TAM
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |