MLS Quarter-finals
Global 7-0
Toronto FC vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
PHU
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 2
CFS
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
TOR
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
DCU
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
ORL
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
COC
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 1
NYC
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HOD
0 - 2
NYC
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 1
CFS
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
2 - 2
DAL
43%
23%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |