Toronto FC vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GAL
0 - 4
TOR
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
4 - 0
SJE
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 0
PHU
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CFS
1 - 3
TOR
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
MIN
69%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NER
1 - 0
MON
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
CFS
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
TOR
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
RSL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |