Toronto FC vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RBN
3 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
HOD
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CFS
0 - 0
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
COC
2 - 0
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
SJE
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
RBN
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |