Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Toronto FC vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
HOD
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PHU
1 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
DAL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
GAL
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
COC
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
KCW
2 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
RBN
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |