Canadian Championship Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Toronto FC vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HOD
0 - 1
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
IMI
4 - 3
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RBN
0 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YOR
0 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 2
FOR
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFX
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
ATO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |