Toronto FC vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
ORL
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
PHU
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 3
RBN
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 2
TOR
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
3 - 0
COC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DCU
4 - 1
ORL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 2
DCU
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RBN
2 - 2
DCU
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 2
DCU
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |