Toronto FC vs DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
GAL
35%
28%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SJE
1 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 0
POR
57%
26%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VAN
4 - 2
TOR
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DCU
1 - 1
GAL
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
COR
4 - 1
DCU
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NER
2 - 1
DCU
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
DCU
3 - 1
COC
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DCU
2 - 3
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |