Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 3
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
COC
2 - 1
TOR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
KCW
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
CFS
3 - 1
HOD
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
DCU
4 - 2
CFS
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CFS
2 - 1
NER
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
PHU
1 - 3
CFS
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CFS
2 - 1
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |