Toronto FC vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TOR
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 2
TOR
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
COC
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
SAN
22%
24%
55%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 3
SJE
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
KCW
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
RSL
0 - 1
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
VAN
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
HOD
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |