Toronto Falcons vs York Region Shooters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
60.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
FCV
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 0
TOR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
BGH
2 - 2
TOR
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
York Region Shooters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SHO
4 - 2
BGH
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
SHO
13%
20%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 1
SCA
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
SHO
2 - 3
FCV
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
TOR
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |