Toronto Falcons vs Serbian White Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
4º
3º
25
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 35 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 34 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 13 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
SFS
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Serbian White Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
LON
67%
18%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 0
SER
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 3
SER
10%
15%
75%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
TOR
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 3
SER
9%
15%
76%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | +1 |