Toronto Falcons vs Hamilton City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
4º
3º
7
4º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 35 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 34 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 13 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 4
TOR
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
SFS
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
6 - 1
LON
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 3
LON
5%
9%
87%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SER
3 - 1
LON
67%
18%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |