Toronto Croatia vs York Region Shooters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
TCR
2 - 1
WIN
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
SCW
0 - 7
TCR
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
TCR
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 4
TCR
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
TCR
3 - 1
NIA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
York Region Shooters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
SHO
0 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
WAT
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MIS
1 - 4
SHO
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCT
0 - 1
SHO
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |