Toronto Croatia vs Waterloo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TCR
3 - 2
SHO
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TCR
4 - 0
MIL
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
TCR
1 - 0
LON
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MIL
0 - 4
TCR
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ATO
1 - 2
TCR
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 3
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
WAT
2 - 0
ATO
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
WAT
24%
24%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
WAT
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
BRA
72%
16%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |