Toronto Croatia vs North York Astros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TCR
4 - 1
SCW
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
TCR
2 - 0
LON
81%
13%
5%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
TCR
0 - 1
SCT
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SCW
0 - 0
TCR
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TCR
0 - 0
TRA
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
North York Astros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LON
1 - 4
NOR
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
72%
17%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 2
LON
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
NOR
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 5
BRA
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |