Toronto Croatia vs North York Astros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
TCR
1 - 4
SHO
79%
14%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
TCR
2 - 1
HAM
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
SCT
1 - 3
TCR
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 6
TCR
21%
24%
56%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
TCR
2 - 0
LON
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
North York Astros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
DUR
12%
19%
70%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
SCT
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NOR
4 - 1
BRS
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
BRA
0 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
LON
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |