Toronto Croatia vs Durham Storm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
TCR
3 - 1
SCW
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
OSH
1 - 3
TCR
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2000 |
TCR
2 - 1
SHO
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SHO
1 - 6
TCR
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
SCW
2 - 1
TCR
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Durham Storm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DUR
1 - 0
FLS
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
DUR
8 - 0
LON
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
NOR
1 - 3
DUR
20%
24%
57%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
OSH
0 - 5
DUR
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
DUR
0 - 1
SCW
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |