Toronto Croatia vs Capital City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
TCR
2 - 0
SHO
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
TCR
4 - 1
MIS
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MIS
0 - 4
TCR
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
TCR
21%
24%
54%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
TCR
2 - 1
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Capital City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAC
5 - 0
SER
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAC
2 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
CAC
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAC
3 - 2
BRA
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAC
0 - 0
MIS
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |