Torns vs Vänersborgs IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
15º
12º
31
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LJU
1 - 1
TOR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 1
IKO
16%
24%
60%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OSK
1 - 1
TOR
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
TVA
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
TRO
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
4 - 2
VAN
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 0
LJU
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 0
VAN
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
AIF
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ESK
3 - 1
VAN
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |