Tormenta vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
10º
10º
39
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 3
SPV
79%
14%
8%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CVF
3 - 2
TOR
27%
24%
50%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
1 - 2
TOR
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 1
OKS
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
3 - 2
TOR
36%
24%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NCO
3 - 1
RIC
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
OKS
1 - 0
NCO
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |