Tormenta vs Fuego FC analysis

Tormenta Fuego FC
54 ELO 44
10.8% Tilt 6%
3298º General ELO ranking 5918º
60º Country ELO ranking 112º
ELO win probability
64%
Tormenta
20%
Draw
16%
Fuego FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Tormenta
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16%
Win probability
Fuego FC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tormenta
-20%
-30%
Fuego FC

Points and table prediction

Tormenta
Their league position
Fuego FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
12
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Omaha
32
45
96%
Forward Madison
31
38
29.5%
Charlotte Independence
29
37
20.5%
Northern Colorado
25
36
15%
Greenville Triumph
28
35
22.5%
One Knoxville
28
35
24%
Spokane Velocity
26
30
71.5%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
10º
16
24
29.5%
Tormenta
18
23
35%
Richmond Kickers
11º
16
23
10º
32%
Lexington
17
20
11º
46%
Fuego FC
12º
12
17
12º
76%
Expected probabilities
Tormenta
Fuego FC
Play-offs for the title
40.5% 0%
Mid-table
59.5% 100%

ELO progression

Tormenta
Fuego FC
Richmond Kickers
Northern Colorado
Spokane Velocity
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tormenta
Tormenta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
CHA
Charlotte Independence
1 - 1
Tormenta
TOR
51%
24%
25%
54 56 2 0
08 Oct. 2023
TOR
Tormenta
0 - 4
Union Omaha
OMA
31%
27%
42%
55 63 8 -1
01 Oct. 2023
RIC
Richmond Kickers
0 - 1
Tormenta
TOR
31%
25%
44%
54 49 5 +1
24 Sep. 2023
TOR
Tormenta
1 - 0
One Knoxville
OKS
59%
22%
20%
54 49 5 0
17 Sep. 2023
CAR
North Carolina
2 - 3
Tormenta
TOR
52%
23%
25%
53 55 2 +1

Matches

Fuego FC
Fuego FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2023
RIC
Richmond Kickers
4 - 5
Fuego FC
CVF
61%
21%
19%
42 49 7 0
05 Oct. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
1 - 2
Greenville Triumph
GTR
26%
25%
49%
42 55 13 0
01 Oct. 2023
CRW
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 - 1
Fuego FC
CVF
64%
19%
17%
43 49 6 -1
24 Sep. 2023
OMA
Union Omaha
2 - 1
Fuego FC
CVF
72%
17%
11%
43 61 18 0
21 Sep. 2023
CVF
Fuego FC
0 - 3
North Carolina
CAR
23%
23%
54%
44 55 11 -1
X