Tormenta vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
9º
9º
31
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 38 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 35 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 23 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 17 |
12º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
40.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tormenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
CVF
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 4
OMA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 1
TOR
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
OKS
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
4 - 1
FMA
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 1
OMA
16%
25%
59%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCO
2 - 0
FMA
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 2
LSC
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
FMA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |